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UFO Statistics
Martin Gottschall, PhD ©
The UFO
phenomenon seems to impact on all nations and cultures in much
the same way, and in this respect it seems to be a truly
global phenomenon. The following are some of the "basic"
statistics that have emerged over the years.
1. All our
historical and prehistoric records contain references to
recognisable UFO's or "Flying Saucers", indicating that the
phenomenon has always been with us. This however does not mean
that the same visitors have been coming, or that their purpose
has always been the same.
2. About 6% of
the population has had one or more sightings of UFO's. This
translates into about 60,000 people per million, and is
approximately the number of people in Brisbane who have had
sightings. As a consequence of this statistic, virtually
everyone knows one or more persons who have had sightings, as
well as being aware of the phenomenon though the media and the
literature. It may therefore be deduced that all but people
with a powerful emotional or belief orientated objection can
have any real doubts about the reality of this phenomenon. The
level of public acceptance is probably about 90% of the
population.
3. About half
of those who have had sightings have reported two or more such
sightings. In many cases these sightings were made by the
witnesses while in the company of different other witnesses on
each such occasion. The high incidence of multiple sightings
indicates that sightings are not a matter of chance, and that
some kind of selection or planning is associated with them. On
the basis of chance, we would expect only about four people in
a thousand to have seen UFO's on two occasions, and two in ten
thousand to have had three sightings. A consequence of the
high rate of multiple sightings is that there exists about one
sightings experience for each seven people in the community,
or about 150,000 per million of population.
4. About 2% to
4% of the population is believed to have experienced alien
abductions. These tend to recur many times in the person's
life, and tend to follow family trees. Genetic factors seem to
be important in selection for abductions, and the maintenance
of an alien population seems to be a governing motivation of
this alien activity. Since abductees generally experience many
abductions, and since the sighting of a UFO is not uncommon
during such episodes, it may be surmised that at least a
sizeable fraction of those reporting multiple UFO sightings
are also abductees. Only a very small percentage of abductees
seem to be consciously aware of this aspect of their
experiences.
5. About 3% of
the people who have a UFO sighting report this experience to
some appropriate organisation such as the Air Force or UFORQ.
Some of these respondents are prompted by media reports of
other people's sightings when they report theirs. There is
clearly a great wastage of sightings data, and the true
incidence of these sightings is greatly understated by the
number of reports actually made. There is every indication
that the quality of unreported sightings is the same as that
of reported sightings, and the reasons for non reporting are
generally not connected to the quality of sightings data
obtained.
6. Of the
sightings reported, about 75% remain probable UFO's after
exhaustive investigation and analysis. Only a small fraction
of the reported sightings receive such exhaustive study, but
their numbers are large enough, and the selection criteria
random enough to justify this claim about sightings generally.
The remaining 25%, comprises sightings where the data is
inadequate to allow a reliable interpretation, and sightings
for which a probable mundane explanation can be found. The
frequent claims that only a small percentage of reported
sightings remain "unexplained" after investigation and
analysis (meaning a possible UFO), downplays the enormous
stockpile of "real" UFO sightings that is on record.
7. Over the
period of its existence UFORQ has accumulated a few thousand
sightings reports out of about 200.000 sightings made in SE
Queensland. There are probably about 50,000 abductees in this
region also. If a significant fraction of these numbers wanted
to report their sightings, or sought help in coping with their
abduction experiences, we would be altogether overwhelmed by
sheer numbers. This could happen anytime if for example mass
sightings of UFO's or abduction disclosures prompted it. The
training of investigators should be viewed in part as
preparation for such an eventuality.
When these
statistics are viewed together, we can see more clearly how
the policy of "silence" practiced by our authorities and
institutions has hidden the sheer size of the impact of the
UFO phenomenon on mankind. Clearly something big is going on,
which the general public does not realise or understand, and
yet we are most intimately involved.
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